Mark Davis's blog
Are they serious?
Mark Davis | 14 November 2008You really do have to wonder at todayâs Age. The online version has a link to an opinion piece by some dill telling people that all the hard times are in their imagination (including the now standard jab at Gen x and y), and that they need to âHarden Upâ. Right next to it is a story about 10 000 forecast job losses in the finance sector, including 5000 at Westpac. To make things worse, the article by the dill recommends that people buy Westpac shares. Sometimes the left hand not only doesnât know what the right hand is doing, it has no idea whatsoever.
A global economic-environmental compact?
Mark Davis | 14 November 2008Thereâs a really interesting report from scientist Ian Lowe on the Inside Story site about the recent WEF forum on the economic crisis and climate change. It seemed to me as I was reading it that if the WEF hard-heads are at last starting to connect the dots, and to look at the failures of present economic assumptions re: growth etc, the environment, and the issue of governance, then the world really is changing. We can only hope!Meanwhile, Brit comedy duo Bird and Fortune have done a very funny pisstake on the sub-prime crisis. Well worth a look.
Your Targets = Our Future
Mark Davis | 12 November 2008Yay for the Australian Youth Climate Coalition for taking the climate change fight up to the government, and for having a go at the weak-kneed and defeatistGarnaut climate change review. You can sign the Your Targets = Our Future petition here.
An historic day
Mark Davis | 5 November 2008McCain lost because he campaigned for the party. Obama won because he campaigned for the country. And maybe, even, for the globe. As an Australian looking on from the other side of the globe, that, at least, is my hope; that weâll see some action on pressing issues such as global warming now that someone more responsible will be in the White House. And that we might see a decline in political tribalism. This loss should be sobering for the Republicans. Perhaps the days of cynical âfeeding the baseâ and divisive, lowest-common-denominator, tribalist politics, are over. Politics, in the end, demands principle, especially in complex, difficult times like these. And leadership. Obamaâs victory speech can be found here.
The trials of youth
Mark Davis | 5 November 2008Last Sunday the Age were kind enough to publish an opinion piece of mine on the stereotypes that surround Gen Y. Iâm always surprised when I write on this topic just how many responses and how much support it gets, and this one was no different. Lots of young people have had a gutful of some of the crap that gets talked about them. As follows: WEâVE all heard the myths. Gen Y-ers are lazy, stay-at-home and good-for-nothing. They donât leave home until theyâre in their late 20s or early 30s and then return only to dump the laundry at the door. Selfish, indulged, pampered, consumeristic and easily distracted, they seek only instant gratification and the latest phone. Keep reading ?
Multiculturalism helped cause the financial crash (!)
Mark Davis | 17 October 2008Yes, itâs true. Just ask Andrew Bolt, who writes today that: 'You see, this crash wasnât really caused in the first case by bankersâ greed. Or not by their greed alone. 'The âgreedâ that started it was that of poor people in the US who wanted a house and took out home mortgages they had little hope of repaying. 'What helped them to get these ninja loans - loans to people with no income, no jobs and no assets - were tough rules pushed through by then-president Bill Clinton forcing banks to issue more loans to minorities, or else. 'And financing and guaranteeing many of them were two semi-nationalised mortgage wholesalers, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, which were excused some of the tougher capital requirements of banks, so greedy was Clinton for success.'Bolt, of course, keen to absolve bankers from their responsibilities and markets from failure, sells short a whole range of factors that underwrote the crisis, such as the overleveraging of sub-prime based financial products, the anti-regulatory zeal that prospered under the reign of Greenspan, the excessive risks taken by bankers in the search for market share and new markets, and, yes, their drive to pile a bit more on those bonuses they have so craved. Read more . . .
Never the twain?
Mark Davis | 17 October 2008One of the many disturbing things about the global financial ructions of the past few weeks is that climate change has disappeared from the news agenda. We really do seem to be short term animals, interested only in whatâs on this side of the horizon. Hardly a surprise, perhaps, at a time when many people really are worried about their immediate future. But one implication of the media silence is that addressing financial problems and addressing global warming are antithetical, when so far as Iâm concerned they are one and the same thing. Both are driven by our belief that unlimited economic growth is necessary and somehow sustainable.
So it was with surprise that last night I found myself agreeing with New York Times columnist Thomas Friedman, who I usually think of as an insufferable windbag, who was being interviewed by George Negus on Dateline. Read more . . .
Sketching a new economics (no surprises)
Mark Davis | 13 October 2008It's funny how people keep talking about The Land of Plenty as if it's a book about the Howard era when in fact the 'big idea' at the heart of the book is that we're at the end of two thirty year cycles, the first based around economic protectionism and the centrality of governments, the second based around deregulation and the centrality of markets. It seemed a novel idea when I was writing late last year and earlier this year, albeit one that's since been realised in ways I'd never wish for.
The basis of my thinking wasn't to do with any particular government (the vast majority of the book was written in the belief that Rudd would win, then in the first few months of the government), so much as the whole political and economic system, which I believed then and believe now to be unsustainable. We seemed to be living in an 'economic fool's paradise', as I put it, where a decade and a half of economic growth had been fueled by consumer spending funded by easy credit, and then a commodities boom. The whole thing was a house of cards. A Very Public Sociologist has since put together a convincing summation that points out how the whole edifice was balanced rather precariously on rising housing prices. John Quiggin's recent posts have also been excellent. And an erudite summary of last week's events can be found at LP. Howard? Rudd? It wasn't going to make much difference.
But the thing that amazes me, speaking as a non-economist, is the idea that the collapse should be a surprise. Read more . . .
Melting down
Mark Davis | 4 October 2008I posted this on the main blog page earlier in the week, but due to a tech problem or two (all my fault), it's taken a day or two to get it up here. Sorry!
'Meltdownâ seems an appropriate metaphor for the week in which the worldâs markets crashed then rose then crashed then . . . and in which Ross Garnaut handed over his final climate change report. The first should hardly have been surprising, and nor should the weakness of the second. If we are living in a global speculative economy founded on bad debt, then sooner or later something has to give. In effect the markets are holding people to ransom. If we donât feed the beast by bailing them out, then they will ruin us. And if the government is pandering to business on all matters environmental, as satirised on last nightâs wonderfully apt and timely episode of The Hollow Men, then a weak-kneed stance on climate change (25 per cent reductions at best), with anything stronger, or even that, being denounced by the usual suspects, is to be expected. Meltdown indeed. Read more . . .
Thinkin' 'bout solutions
Mark Davis | 2 October 2008The first major newspaper review of the book, by Shelley McInnis, was published in the Age and WA Today on Saturday. Positive overall, which was great, albeit a touch condescending (hey, those reviewers gotta think themselves important somehow) and, well, downright odd in its internal contradictions and strange air of not really having understood the book so struggling to find other things to say. The first third was a review of Gangland, my previous book, and there seemed to be an expectation that Land of Plenty should be more of the same. Disappointingly, at no stage did McInnis engage seriously with any of the main arguments or sub-arguments of the book. I was pleased, though, that the book was deemed important, and that the section on feminism won plaudits. My sentences, however, should apparently be shorter, a comment that struck me as a typical case of a reviewer thinking their peccadillos are of universal import.
But the thing that did make me wonder was the idea that the book somehow âlacked hopeâ and the implication that it should offer pat solutions, like little parcels all wrapped up in a bow. Now, McInnis is a parliamentary secretary, so is perhaps used to seeing the minute and action sheet all in one. But her comment got me thinking. I self-consciously steered away from such prescriptions as I was writing. It would have seemed glib and trite; self-important. And I believe that ideas and facts and narratives of the sort that the book offers, are power in themselves. Itâs then up to people to use them.
Or am I wrong, and we live in an age that is indeed therapeutic, where people want pat solutions? Read more . . .
